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A Microsimulation Model to Study the Interaction between Fertility and Union Formation and Dissolution: An Application to Canada and Québec

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Bélanger, Alain; Morency, Jean-Dominique; Spielauer, Martin (2010). A Microsimulation Model to Study the Interaction between Fertility and Union Formation and Dissolution: An Application to Canada and Québec Canadian Studies in Population , vol. 37 , nº 3-4. p. 339-373. DOI: 10.1007/s42650-019-00002-x.

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Résumé

This paper presents the results of literacy proficiency projections using a microsimulation model that simultaneously projects future demographic, ethnocultural, and socioeconomic characteristics of the Canadian population. Factors linked with literacy skills of the working-age population are analyzed for both native- and foreign-born Canadians. The projection results show that literacy skills are likely to slightly decline between 2011 and 2061, as the positive effects of increasing education are canceled out by the important skill gap between native- and foreign-born Canadians. Results of the simulation suggest that plausible changes to immigrant selection policies could prevent against the associated literacy skill decline among the Canadian working-age population.

Type de document: Article
Mots-clés libres: Literacy skills; microsimulation projections; working-age population; immigration
Centre: Centre Urbanisation Culture Société
Date de dépôt: 28 oct. 2019 13:47
Dernière modification: 07 nov. 2019 21:25
URI: http://espace.inrs.ca/id/eprint/8684

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